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greatest length of tumor representative of the overall tumor grade was

sectioned of testing. Biopsy tissue sections submitted to the Genomic

Health Clinical Laboratory were manually microdissected and RNA

extracted as previously described

[7,8] .

2.5.

Assay methods

RNA from each specimen was tested using an analytically validated

17-gene quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction

assay, which provides a GPS (scale 0

100) as a measure of tumor

aggressiveness. All analytical methods were prede

fi

ned and performed

as previously described

[6,7] .

Expression of 12 cancer genes was

normalized relative to

fi

ve reference genes and used to calculate the GPS.

2.6.

Statistical methods

All analyses were detailed in a prespeci

fi

ed statistical analysis plan (see

the Supplementary material). The co-primary clinical end points were

time to metastases and time to PCD. A secondary clinical end point was

time to BCR. Additional speci

fi

ed analyses included strati

fi

cation by

clinical stage, biopsy GS, and clinical risk groups.

In the analyses of each outcome of interest, follow-up began on the

date of initial diagnostic biopsy and ended on either the date of event (eg,

metastasis, PCD, or BCR), disenrollment fromKPNC, nonprostate primary

cancer, or death due to other cause or the date December 31, 2015,

whichever came

fi

rst.

Weighted descriptive statistics and weighted proportions were

reported for demographic and clinicopathological characteristics, and

chi-square and Wilcoxon tests were used to compare the evaluable

cohort and nonselected samples, based on the prespeci

fi

ed cohort

sampling schema. Cox proportional hazard (PH) models were used to

evaluate the association of GPS with the three end points

[12,15]

. Re-

gression parameters (hazard ratios [HRs] and 95% con

fi

dence intervals

[CIs]) were estimated by weighted pseudopartial likelihood

[12] .

The

p

value for the test of associationwas calculated using a weighted Wald

s

test

[12]

. The two primary objectives were tested in sequence, and the

overall family-wise error rate was preserved at 0.05 signi

fi

cance level

[16]

. The PH assumption was evaluated and the linearity assumption for

the predictors was assessed by Martingale residuals

[17,18]

.

GPS was treated as a continuous variable in regression analyses.

Consistent with two prior clinical validation studies

[7,8] ,

HRs for GPS

were calculated per 20 units. Area under the curve for the receiver

operating characteristic (ROC) curve was calculated.

Analyses were performed independently by KPNC Division of

Research and Genomic Health, using SAS version 9.3.

3.

Results

3.1.

Study population

Among 6184 eligible patients, 404 were selected based on

the prespecified cohort sampling schema, 334 patients had

available archival prostate biopsy tissue, and 279 met all

clinical and pathological eligibility criteria. Fourteen cases

(4%) were excluded because of clinical ineligibility (five

patients died within

<

6 mo after surgery, two received

preoperative radiation before surgery, six did not had

prostate surgery, and one had spindle cell carcinoma) and

41 (12%) due to insufficient tumor or incorrect tumor type.

GPS results that passed quality assurance measures were

obtained for 259 men (93%), representing the final

evaluable population

( Fig. 1 )

, which included 64 PCD,

79 metastatic events, and 117 BCR.

The median follow-up was 9.8 yr and interquartile range

5.8 yr; 79% of patients were Caucasian, 11% African

American, and 10% Asian or Hispanic. The distribution of

NCCN clinical risk groups was as follows: very low

3%;

low

21%; intermediate

67%; and high

9%. Baseline char-

acteristics in the evaluable population were similar to those

in the overall population of KPNC prostate cases with regard

to age, year of treatment, PSA levels, and clinical T stage

( Table 1 ;

p

>

0.3). There was a greater preponderance of

Caucasians (79% vs 70%) and a decreased proportion of

other non

African American races (10% vs 19%;

p

= 0.01),

and a lower proportion of cases with an original biopsy GS

of 7 (29% vs 37%;

p

= 0.001) in the study cohort. As expected,

the percentage of patients with GS 7 was higher on the

central pathology review than on the original historical

pathology review, since many cases were diagnosed prior to

[(Fig._1)TD$FIG]

Fig. 1

REMARK diagram. DB = database; NCCN = National Comprehensive Cancer Network; RP = radical prostatectomy.

E U R O P E A N U R O L O GY 7 3 ( 2 0 18 ) 12 9

13 8

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